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Simulation and Analytical Approach to the Identification of Significant Factors
Authors:Alexander V Bulinski  Alexander S Rakitko
Institution:Faculty of Mathematics and Mechanics, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
Abstract:We develop our previous works concerning the identification of the collection of significant factors determining some, in general, nonbinary random response variable. Such identification is important, e.g., in biological and medical studies. Our approach is to examine the quality of response variable prediction by functions in (certain part of) the factors. The prediction error estimation requires some cross-validation procedure, certain prediction algorithm, and estimation of the penalty function. Using simulated data, we demonstrate the efficiency of our method. We prove a new central limit theorem for introduced regularized estimates under some natural conditions for arrays of exchangeable random variables.
Keywords:Central limit theorem  Exchangeable random variables  Identification of significant factors  Nonbinary random response  Regularized estimates of prediction error
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