通货紧缩的判别标准及对我国现状的判断

一、通货紧缩的内含在经典的教课书中 ,通货紧缩的基本内含是指“大多数的价格和成本下降的时期” ,但又对该定义作了注释 ,通货紧缩的另一含义是指“实际产量和就业量的下降 ,而不管价格的情况为何”① ,因此通货紧缩至少有两种不同内含。目前国内的认识也是如此 ,主要有以下几种观点 :第一种观点认为通货紧缩一般有两个特征 ,一是商品和劳务价格持续下跌 ,二是货币供应量持续下降 ,并且伴随着经济衰退 ,即经济连续两个季度以上出现负增长 ;第二种观点认为通货紧缩是指价格持续下降和经济增长率持续低于潜在增长率 ;第三种观点认为通货紧缩…

The Standard of Judgment of Deflation and the Relevant Judgment of the Current Condition of China

With the continuous declining of gross level of prices of China, deflation is the problem people pay more and more attention to. But there are great differences between the knowledge about the problem. From the meaning of deflation, the author constructs the relevant judgment standard and further analyses the current condition of China.