Is regression adjustment supported by the Neyman model for causal inference? |
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Authors: | Peter Z Schochet |
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Institution: | aMathematica Policy Research, Inc., P.O. Box 2393, Princeton, NJ 08543-2393, USA |
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Abstract: | This paper examines both theoretically and empirically whether the common practice of using OLS multivariate regression models to estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) under experimental designs is justified by the Neyman model for causal inference. Using data from eight large U.S. social policy experiments, the paper finds that estimated standard errors and significance levels for ATE estimators are similar under the OLS and Neyman models when baseline covariates are included in the models, even though theory suggests that this may not have been the case. This occurs primarily because treatment effects do not appear to vary substantially across study subjects. |
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Keywords: | Neyman causal model Experimental designs Average treatment effects Regression adjustment Social policy interventions |
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