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Disaster risk and artificial intelligence: A framework to characterize conceptual synergies and future opportunities
Authors:Shital Thekdi  Unal Tatar  Joost Santos  Samrat Chatterjee
Institution:1. Department of Analytics & Operations, Robins School of Business, University of Richmond, Richmond, Virginia, USA;2. Department of Cybersecurity, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York, USA;3. Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, George Washington University, Washington, District of Columbia, USA;4. Data Sciences and Machine Intelligence Group, Physical and Computational Sciences Directorate, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, Washington, USA
Abstract:Artificial intelligence (AI) methods have revolutionized and redefined the landscape of data analysis in business, healthcare, and technology. These methods have innovated the applied mathematics, computer science, and engineering fields and are showing considerable potential for risk science, especially in the disaster risk domain. The disaster risk field has yet to define itself as a necessary application domain for AI implementation by defining how to responsibly balance AI and disaster risk. (1) How is AI being used for disaster risk applications; and how are these applications addressing the principles and assumptions of risk science, (2) What are the benefits of AI being used for risk applications; and what are the benefits of applying risk principles and assumptions for AI-based applications, (3) What are the synergies between AI and risk science applications, and (4) What are the characteristics of effective use of fundamental risk principles and assumptions for AI-based applications? This study develops and disseminates an online survey questionnaire that leverages expertise from risk and AI professionals to identify the most important characteristics related to AI and risk, then presents a framework for gauging how AI and disaster risk can be balanced. This study is the first to develop a classification system for applying risk principles for AI-based applications. This classification contributes to understanding of AI and risk by exploring how AI can be used to manage risk, how AI methods introduce new or additional risk, and whether fundamental risk principles and assumptions are sufficient for AI-based applications.
Keywords:artificial intelligence  machine learning  risk analysis  risk management
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