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Exact uniformly most powerful postselection confidence distributions
Authors:Andrea C. Garcia-Angulo  Gerda Claeskens
Affiliation:ORStat and Leuven Statistics Research Centre, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
Abstract:A conditioning on the event of having selected one model from a set of possibly misspecified normal linear regression models leads to the construction of uniformly optimal conditional confidence distributions. They can be used for valid postselection inference. The constructed conditional confidence distributions are finite sample exact and encompass all information regarding the focus parameter in the selected model. This includes the construction of optimal postselection confidence intervals at all significance levels and uniformly most powerful hypothesis tests.
Keywords:confidence distribution  confidence interval  linear model  model selection  postselection inference  selective inference  sufficiency
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