| 福建农村居民消费的长期均衡与短期动态模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨朝英.福建农村居民消费的长期均衡与短期动态模型研究[J].福建农林大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2006,9(5):8-11. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨朝英 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建农林大学经济与管理学院,福建,福州,350002 |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了福建农村居民消费的现状,在协整理论和误差修正机制的理论基础上,估计了福建农村居民消费的长期均衡模型和短期动态模型。模型估计结果表明收入以及收购价格与生产资料价格比对消费的变动均有显著的影响,而利率对福建农村居民消费的影响并不显著。同时,长期均衡误差项对消费的变动有较大的反向调整力度。
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| 关 键 词： | 福建农村居民消费 误差修正模型 协整 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-6922(2006)05-0008-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年4月11日 |
Models of long-term equilitrium and short-term dynamics for rural residents' consumption in Fujian |
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| YANG Chao-ying.Models of long-term equilitrium and short-term dynamics for rural residents'''' consumption in Fujian[J].Journal of Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,2006,9(5):8-11. |
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| Authors: | YANG Chao-ying |
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| Abstract: | Based on the analysis of current status and the theory of cointegration and error correction mechanism,the long-term equilibrium model and short-term dynamics model for rural residents' consumption in Fujian are estimated and the result shows that the income and the ratio of purchase price to production material price significantly affect the change of consumption,but the effect of interest rate is insignificant.Meanwhile the error of long-term equilibrium conducts a great reversing adjustment to the change of consumption. |
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| Keywords: | rural residents' consumption in Fujian error correction model cointegration |
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