济南惨案与蒋介石绕道北伐之决策

1928年5月3日发生的济南惨案,预示着东亚国际关系格局发生了变化。在华盛顿体系约束下的日本对国民革命军在长江以南的胜利采取了默认态度,但国民政府进行二次北伐统一中国时,新任首相田中义一确立了武力干涉的政策;济南惨案发生的原因比较复杂,中日双方有不同的表述,中国士兵的仇日情绪为日本军队的攻击提供了口实,而日本企图借口济南事件扩大中日军事冲突;蒋介石对于济案进行了冷处理,忍辱负重地作出绕道北伐的决策,避免了中日大规模军事冲突的发生,此举使得国民政府在国际道义上占得先机;田中内阁积极的对华干涉政策不仅未能将东三省同中国本土相分离,反而激化了中国民众对于日本的不信任和仇恨,在田中义一的怂恿下,关东军最终炸死了张作霖,结果不仅导致东北于1928年底宣布易帜,服从南京国民政府,而且加深了日本在国际上的孤立地位。

JinanTragedy and Chiang Kai-shek's Strategic Decisions of Northern Expedition Through Roundabout Route

5/3 JinanTragedy(1928) is an indication of the changing East-Asian relations.Under the restraint of the Washington Treaty,Japan tolerated the victory of the Revolutionary Army of the Republic of China in the southern areas of the Changjiang River.When the Nationalist Government decided to start on the second Northern Expedition to unite China,Tanaka Giichi,however,shifted to a Violent Interference Policy.Since very contradictory accounts of JinanTragedy were given by China and Japan,Chiang's government deci...