Winning the Presidential Nomination: National Polls and State Primary Elections, 1936-1972 |
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| Authors: | Beniger James R |
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| Institution: | James R. Beniger is a graduate student in sociology and statistics at the University of California, Berkeley. This article was begun while he was Head of the Sampling Office, Survey Research Center, Berkeley, and completed while he was a Research Associate at the Bureau of Social Science Research, Washington. |
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| Abstract: | Using the results of 202 Gallup opinion polls and 248 stateprimary elections, this article develops a general model ofpresidential nomination campaigns. National public opinion isfound to play a major role, and state primaries a much lesserrole, in winning the presidential nomination. |
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