| 基于Bass修正模型的产业集群技术创新扩散研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈国宏,王丽丽,蔡猷花. 基于Bass修正模型的产业集群技术创新扩散研究[J]. 中国管理科学, 2010, 18(5): 179-183 |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈国宏 王丽丽 蔡猷花 |
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| 作者单位： | 福州大学管理学院, 福建 福州 350108 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(70973022);福建软科学基金项目(2009R0054,2010R0065);福建社会科学基金项目(2008A073);高等学校博士学科点专项基金(20070386001) |
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| 摘 要： | 产业集群技术创新扩散具有不同于一般技术创新扩散的多个特征,无法采用现有分析方法进行研究.本文在对技术创新扩散过程Bass模型研究的基础上,指出运用Bass模型研究产业集群技术创新扩散存在的不足,据此拓展、建立了产业集群技术创新扩散Bass修正模型,并进行了仿真、分析、比较.结果表明,本文提出的Bass修正模型更合理、有效,结论更符合实际情况,可为研究产业集群技术创新扩散问题提供理论与方法支持.
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| 关 键 词： | 产业集群 技术创新扩散 Bass修正模型 系统动力学 |
| 收稿时间： | 2009-10-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2010-08-30 |
Study on Technological Innovation Diffusion in Industrial Cluster Based on Modified Bass Model |
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| CHEN Guo-hong,WANG Li-li,CAI You-hua. Study on Technological Innovation Diffusion in Industrial Cluster Based on Modified Bass Model[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2010, 18(5): 179-183 |
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| Authors: | CHEN Guo-hong WANG Li-li CAI You-hua |
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| Affiliation: | School of Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350108, China |
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| Abstract: | Technological innovation diffusion in industrial cluster is different from the technological innovation diffusion with many features,and the existed methods are difficult to analyze it.Based on the study of Bass model and technological diffusion innovation,this paper points out that there are limitations of Bass model in studying technological innovation diffusion in industrial cluster,thus expands and establishes the modified Bass model of technology innovation diffusion in industrial cluster.Finally,it analyzes the simulation results.The results show that the modified Bass model is more reasonable and effective than onginal Bass model,and the conclusion is more realistic.Thus,it can provide theoretical and met hodological support for the study of technology innovation diffusion in industrial cluster. |
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| Keywords: | industrial cluster technological innovation diffusion modified Bass model system dynamics |
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