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Exact inference for a simple step-stress model with competing risks for failure from exponential distribution under Type-II censoring
Authors:N Balakrishnan  Donghoon Han
Institution:Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ont., Canada L8S 4K1
Abstract:In reliability analysis, accelerated life-testing allows for gradual increment of stress levels on test units during an experiment. In a special class of accelerated life tests known as step-stress tests, the stress levels increase discretely at pre-fixed time points, and this allows the experimenter to obtain information on the parameters of the lifetime distributions more quickly than under normal operating conditions. Moreover, when a test unit fails, there are often more than one fatal cause for the failure, such as mechanical or electrical. In this article, we consider the simple step-stress model under Type-II censoring when the lifetime distributions of the different risk factors are independently exponentially distributed. Under this setup, we derive the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of the unknown mean parameters of the different causes under the assumption of a cumulative exposure model. The exact distributions of the MLEs of the parameters are then derived through the use of conditional moment generating functions. Using these exact distributions as well as the asymptotic distributions and the parametric bootstrap method, we discuss the construction of confidence intervals for the parameters and assess their performance through Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, we illustrate the methods of inference discussed here with an example.
Keywords:Accelerated life-testing  Competing risks  Conditional moment generating function  Confidence interval  Cumulative exposure model  Maximum likelihood estimation  Order statistics  Parametric bootstrap method  Step-stress model  Tail probability  Type-II censoring
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