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‘Leaning Against an Open Door’: Ideology and the cyclicality of public expenditure
Institution:1. Business School, University of Hull, Cottingham Road, Hull HU6 7RX, United Kingdom;2. Department of Economics, University of Bath, Claverton Down, Bath BA2 7AY, United Kingdom;1. Università La Sapienza di Roma, Italy;2. Università di Milano Bicocca, Italy;1. Secretaria General del Tesoro y Política Financiera, Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad, Paseo del Prado N° 6, Madrid, Spain;2. Grupo de Economía Internacional, Departamento de Economía y Ciencias Sociales, Universidad Politécnica de Valencia, Camino de Vera s/n, Valencia 46022, Spain;3. Instituto de Economía Internacional, Universidad de Valencia, Avenida de los Naranjos s/n, Valencia 46022, Spain;1. Economics Department, Faculty of Business, Economics and Communications, Naresuan University, Muang, Phitsanulok 65000, Thailand;2. Economics and Finance Group, Portsmouth Business School, University of Portsmouth, Richmond Building, Portland Street, Portsmouth, Hampshire PO1 3DE, United Kingdom;1. EQUIPPE, Université de Lille, France;2. EDEHN, Université du Havre and Skema Business School, France
Abstract:When is government expenditure likely to be procyclical? While economists tend to anticipate counter-cyclical expenditure, recent studies report procyclical expenditure. This paper explores the impact of political ideology on the cyclicality of government expenditure. Predictions are tested with reference to government expenditure in the USA between 1950 and 2008. The likelihood of procyclical expenditure increases if groups that press for increased public expenditure are‘…leaning against an open door’.
Keywords:Business cycles  Fiscal policy  Voracity effects  Political ideology
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