| 政策取向生育率模型及在江苏的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈友华.政策取向生育率模型及在江苏的应用[J].南京人口管理干部学院学报,1998(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈友华 |
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| 作者单位： | 江苏省计划生育委员会!210008 |
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| 摘 要： | 鉴于生育政策在决定中国妇女生育率水平高低过程中的极端重要性，为进一步认清现行生育政策对未来人口发展形势的影响．本文建立了政策取向的生育后果仿真模型并运用它对江苏未来妇女生育率进行了估算．
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| 关 键 词： | 生育政策 预测 模型 |
The Model of Policy-permitted Bithr Rate and Ist Application in Jiangsu Province |
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| Chen Youhua.The Model of Policy-permitted Bithr Rate and Ist Application in Jiangsu Province[J].Journal of Nanjing College for Population Programme Management,1998(4). |
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| Authors: | Chen Youhua |
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| Institution: | Chen Youhua |
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| Abstract: | Because of the extreme importance of the government policy in the process of theChiners women's birth rate level , the author established the model of policy-permitted birth ratewhich was used to anticipate the future women's birth rate in Jiangsu and have a better understanding of the present FP policy's influence on population development . |
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| Keywords: | Fertility PoliCy Anticipation Model |
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