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Simpson's paradox and the Bayes factor
Authors:Murray Aitkin
Affiliation:University of Western Australia, Nedlands, Australia, and University of Newcastle, UK
Abstract:A counter-example presented by Lindley to Aitkin's posterior Bayes factor is examined. The paradoxical feature of the counter-example is found to be a simple case of Simpson's paradox.
Keywords:Bayes factor    Collapsibility    Posterior Bayes factor    Simpson's paradox
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