| 农户模型方法在实证分析中的运用——以中国加入WTO后对农户的生产和消费行为影响分析为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 李强,张林秀.农户模型方法在实证分析中的运用——以中国加入WTO后对农户的生产和消费行为影响分析为例[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2007,7(1):25-31,20. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李强 张林秀 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,农业政策研究中心,北京,100101 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金委杰出青年基金项目(70225003) |
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| 摘 要： | 农户模型方法是从微观层次的角度把农户的生产行为和消费行为结合起来,来系统分析各种政策和外界冲击对微观农户的生产、消费、市场供给等行为的影响一个工具。本文从理论和实证的角度对农户模型方法进行介绍,并构建了一个用于分析中国加入WTO对农户生产和消费影响的局部均衡模型。这个模型系统把农户的生产和消费行为结合在一起,而且这个模型也不同于别的模拟模型,它是建立在微观模拟的基础上的。
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| 关 键 词： | 农户模型 系统模型 政策分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-7465(2007)01-0025-07 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年11月27 |
Application of farm household model approach to social-economic analysis: a case study of the production and consumption behaviors of Chinese farm households after China's WTO accession |
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| LI Qiang,ZHANG Lin-xiu.Application of farm household model approach to social-economic analysis: a case study of the production and consumption behaviors of Chinese farm households after China''''s WTO accession[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science Edition),2007,7(1):25-31,20. |
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| Authors: | LI Qiang ZHANG Lin-xiu |
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| Abstract: | Farm household model approach is used as a tool to analyze,at the micro-level,the impacts of changes of in macro and sectoral policy,and other external shocks on farm household's production,consumption and the market supply.The paper introduces the farm household model approach from theoretical and empirical perspectives and sets up an implementable partial equilibrium model for the agricultural households to analyse the impacts of China's WTO accession.The model incorporates both production and consumption behaviors of farm households.The model differs form other simulation models in that it is based on microsimilation. |
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| Keywords: | farm household model system model policy analysis |
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