人均工业增加值与人口城市化水平关系研究

应用EViews软件对人口城市化水平与人均工业增加值数据样本进行回归分析,采用Granger因果关系检验方法对二者因果关系的验证,证明我国人均工业增加值增长与人口城市化水平高度相关,且二者之间存在内在的因果关系,其中我国人均工业增加值增长是人口城市化水平变化的重要动因,但不是唯一动因,人均工业增加值与其他经济指标一起影响着人口城市化的进程。在发展工业,特别是把工业作为加快城市化进程的一种手段来发展时,要注意工业与其他产业的协调发展,更要注意与社会发展和人们的生活环境、自然环境相和谐。只有工业与其他产业的发展相协调、与区域环境相协调,才能取得较好的城市化速度和质量。

The Relationship between the Population Urbanization Level and the Per-capita Industrial Added Value

Through a regression analysis of the data samples of the level of population urbanization and the per-capita industrial added value by using an EViews package software and a verification of the causality between them two by using the Granger Causality Test Method,it is proven that the increment of the per-capita industrial added value is in positive correlation with the level of population urbanization and there is inherent causality between them,and the increment of per-capita industrial added value is an important,but not the only,driver for the level change of population urbanization.The per-capita industrial added value and the other economic indexes influence the process of population urbanization.When developing industries,especially when developing industries as a measure to accelerate the urbanization process,attention shall be paid to the harmonized development of the industry and other industries,especially to the harmony with the social development,living surroundings and natural surroundings.Only when the industrial development harmonizes the development of other industries and the local surroundings,can a satisfactory urbanization speed and quality be ensured.