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对运用循环周期理论回避投资风险的分析
引用本文:石新济,杨青. 对运用循环周期理论回避投资风险的分析[J]. 山东理工大学学报(社会科学版), 2002, 18(2): 10-13
作者姓名:石新济  杨青
作者单位:1. 山东大学经济学院,山东,济南,250100
2. 济南第四建筑公司,山东,济南,250014
摘    要:在研究股票指数的时侯,我们获悉,形态形成时所经历的时间长短与随后的市场变化之间存在着一定的关系。为此,引用循环周期理论进行回避投资风险的分析,主要是因为循环周期理论所讨论的时间周期,可以对市场形态进行甄别,意在对市场形态中确认有效的趋势线。同时对价格行为进行过滤,略去无关紧要的变化,突出重要的周期性质顶或底附近的变化,从而回避投资风险。

关 键 词:循环周期理论  回避  风险
文章编号:1008-7435(2002)02-0010-04
修稿时间:2001-04-11

An Analysis of Avoiding the Investment Risks by Using Circulation Period Theory
Shi Xinji Yang qing. An Analysis of Avoiding the Investment Risks by Using Circulation Period Theory[J]. Journal of Shandong University of Technology:Social Sciences Edition, 2002, 18(2): 10-13
Authors:Shi Xinji Yang qing
Abstract:In the process of studying the stock indexes, we get to know that certain relation exists between the length of forming pattern and the changes of market. So, the circulation period theory, especially the time period discussed in the circulation period theory, can make a discrimination of the market conditions, which is intended to confirm the efficient tendency line of the market. The price behavior and other unnecessary factors are eliminated and the important periodical changes around the bottom are emphasized, then the investment risk can be avoided.
Keywords:circulation period theory  avoid  risk
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