圣彼得堡悖论的消解与决策学意义反思

圣彼得堡悖论是关于不确定性和无穷决策问题中令人头痛的一个.虽然效用递减论、风险厌恶论、效用上限论和结果上限论都是从实际出发提出的消解这一悖论的有益尝试,但它们并没有也不可能最终解决问题.圣彼得堡悖论的意义在于揭示了人们思维系统自身的矛盾性和不完善性,要求我们在决策理论的研究和解决实际问题的时候,重视理论和实践的关系,建立起理论模型既源于实践又不同于实践的观念.

Solutions for the Petersburg Paradox and it's Significance to the Science of Decision Making

The significance of decision theory to practice is of extraordinarily important. The St Petersburg Paradox is a typical uncertain infinitive decision problem that frustrates people nowadays. By the retrospection to the solution of the paradox conducted in the article, the authors point out that the real reason for the inconsistency between theoretical judgement and practices is come actually from the contradiction in people's thinking itself. Then they conclude with the final solutions for the paradox and its meaning or significance to the practice and study of decision sciences.