中国住房价格与城市化水平的关系研究——动态面板和空间计量的实证分析

文章考虑了在住房价格的滞后影响下城市化对住房价格的影响。考虑到住房价格时间上的滞后效应,采用动态面板数据发现城市化对住房价格有推动作用,住房价格存在时滞性。通过纳入空间效应,采用空间滞后模型发现在考虑到住房价格的空间依赖性的情况下,城市化依然对住房价格有推动作用。地理加权回归结果显示不同省域城市化对住房价格的推动效应存在差异。中国城市化处于加速发展时期,因此需要协调房地产市场和城市化进程的互动发展关系。

The Relationship between Housing Price and Urbanization: An Empirical Study Based on Dynamic Panel Data and Spatial Econometrics

Taking the lag character of housing price in account,the paper analyzes the influence of urbanization on housing price.Taking into account housing prices in the time lag,this paper uses dynamic panel data and finds that there is positive effect between housing price and urbanization.Through the inclusion of spatial effects,the paper uses the spatial lag model,while taking into account that housing prices in the case of spatial dependence,urbanization continues to promote the role of housing prices.GWR results show different provincial cities of the promotion effect on housing prices are different.The development of urbanization accelerates in the period,so we need to coordinate growth between the real estate market and the urbanization process.