Optimal on-line detection of outside observations |
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Authors: | K Szajowski |
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Institution: | Institute of Mathematics, Technical University of Wrockaw, PL-50-370 Wrockaw, Poland |
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Abstract: | Suppose that a Markov process X1,X2,… appears consecutively. There are two random moments of time θ1 and θ2, independent of (Xn). The distribution of the process (Xn) changes for the first time at instant θ1 and for the second time at instant θ2. Our objective is to find a stopping rule based only upon the former values of (Xn) which maximizes the probability that the moment of stopping is between θ1 and θ2. A sufficient condition is given under which an optimal stopping time is finite. The maximal probability corresponding to the optimal rule is found. |
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Keywords: | Disorder problem sequential detection optimal stopping change point |
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