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中国转型期的社会风险分析及其规避——“泰坦尼克定律”的解释框架
引用本文:何枫,倪明胜. 中国转型期的社会风险分析及其规避——“泰坦尼克定律”的解释框架[J]. 武汉科技大学学报(社会科学版), 2008, 10(2): 50-54
作者姓名:何枫  倪明胜
作者单位:1. 中南大学,政治学与行政管理学院,湖南,长沙,410083
2. 中南大学,公共政策与地方治理研究中心,湖南,长沙,410083
摘    要:改革开放以来,中国社会境域正面临结构转型与体制转轨的“双模式”变迁,即从传统农业社会向现代工业社会的结构转型及从计划经济向市场经济的体制转轨。这种社会转型与体制转轨,一方面铸就了中国经济神话;另一方面,也使得中国进入了一个高社会风险的发展阶段。为此,本文尝试引入“泰坦尼克定律”,并以此为向导,深入剖析中国转型期的社会风险相关表征及其成因;并沿此解释框架,探究转型期的社会风险规避路径,希冀对当前“风险社会学说”提供新的借鉴价值和思维模式。

关 键 词:“泰坦尼克定律”  社会风险  规避
文章编号:1009-3699(2008)02-0050-05
修稿时间:2008-02-22

Analysis and avoidance of social risks in China in the transition period based on Titanic's Law
He Feng,Ni Mingsheng. Analysis and avoidance of social risks in China in the transition period based on Titanic's Law[J]. Journal of Wuhan University of Science and Technology(Social Science Edition), 2008, 10(2): 50-54
Authors:He Feng  Ni Mingsheng
Affiliation:He Feng Ni Mingsheng (1. School of Politics and Administration, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China; 2. Public Policy and Local Governance Research Center, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China)
Abstract:Since the reform and opening-up, China has been facing dual-mode transformation. While it changes from the traditional agricultural society to a modern industrial one, it is moving from a planned economy to the market economy. This social and institutional transformation has deified economy on the one hand and led China into a high risk stage of social development on the other. In light of this, the article introduces Titanic's Law for an in-depth analysis of characterization and causes of social risks in the transitional China, and discusses the avoidance of social risks, with the hope of providing a new reference and mode of thinking for the "risk society theory".
Keywords:Titanic's Law  social risk  avoidance
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