欧佩克行为对石油价格波动的影响分析

影响国际市场石油价格变化的基本面因素,是石油的供给和需求关系。欧佩克作为石油出口国中一个起重要作用的组织,其在国际石油市场上的行为,对国际石油市场价格运行机制和石油价格变动起着关键性的作用。欧佩克尽管不能控制国际石油市场,对国际石油价格的实际影响局限在短期波动上,但从全球的石油安全态势分析,对国际石油市场具有很强的影响力、特别是当其决定减少或增加石油产量时。欧佩克影响国际石油价格的行为始终是将欧佩克成员国的利益放在首位,单纯依赖石油出口国的调节行为无法维持国际石油市场的稳定。

Impact of OPEC Behaviors on Price Fluctuation in the International Oil Market

The demand and supply of oil are the main factors that affect the fluctuation of oil price in the international market.OPEC behaviors are critical for the circulation mechanisms and oil price changes in the international oil market.Although it has no control over the international oil market,and its influence on oil price fluctuation tends to be short-termed,OPEC,from a global perspective,has powerful impact upon the international oil market,particularly in deciding on whether to decrease or increase oil output.It is pointed out in the article that it is impossible to maintain stability of the international oil market by means of complete dependence on OPEC behaviors because OPEC will always put the interests its members in the first place.