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Population-level adult mortality following the expansion of antiretroviral therapy in Rakai,Uganda
Authors:Dorean Nabukalu  Georges Reniers  Kathryn A Risher  Sylvia Blom  Emma Slaymaker  Chodziwadziwa Kabudula
Institution:1. Rakai Health Sciences Program;2. London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine;3. University of the WitwatersrandORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-6582-1692;4. London School of Hygiene and Tropical MedicineORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9588-1693;5. London School of Hygiene and Tropical MedicineORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4941-5739;6. University of the Witwatersrand
Abstract:There are limited data on the impact of antiretroviral therapy (ART) on population-level adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. We analysed data for 2000–14 from the Rakai Community Cohort Study (RCCS) in Uganda, where free ART was scaled up after 2004. Using non-parametric and parametric (Weibull) survival analysis, we estimated trends in average person-years lived between exact ages 15 and 50, per capita life-years lost to HIV, and the mortality hazards of people living with HIV (PLHIV). Between 2000 and 2014, average adult life-years lived before age 50 increased significantly, from 26.4 to 33.5?years for all women and from 28.6 to 33.8?years for all men. As of 2014, life-years lost to HIV had declined significantly, to 1.3?years among women and 0.4?years among men. Following the roll-out of ART, mortality reductions among PLHIV were initially larger in women than men, but this is no longer the case.
Keywords:antiretroviral therapy (ART)  HIV  mortality  Rakai  Uganda
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