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Bayesian quadrature with non-normal approximating functions
Authors:KENNEDY  MARC
Affiliation:(1) Department of Mathematics, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, NG7 2RD, UK
Abstract:We consider an efficient Bayesian approach to estimating integration-based posterior summaries from a separate Bayesian application. In Bayesian quadrature we model an intractable posterior density function f(·) as a Gaussian process, using an approximating function g(·), and find a posterior distribution for the integral of f(·), conditional on a few evaluations of f (·) at selected design points. Bayesian quadrature using normal g (·) is called Bayes-Hermite quadrature. We extend this theory by allowing g(·) to be chosen from two wider classes of functions. One is a family of skew densities and the other is the family of finite mixtures of normal densities. For the family of skew densities we describe an iterative updating procedure to select the most suitable approximation and apply the method to two simulated posterior density functions.
Keywords:Bayesian quadrature  numerical integration  Gaussian process  approximating posterior densities  finite mixture of normals
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