Labor force participation and juvenile delinquency in Taiwan: a time series analysis |
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Authors: | Huang Jr-Tsung |
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Institution: | (1) Department of Public Finance & Taiwan Study Center, National Chengchi University, 64 Chih-Nan Road Sec. 2, Taipei, 116, Taiwan |
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Abstract: | This study examines the null hypothesis of Granger no-causality between labor force participation (LFP) and juvenile delinquency
in Taiwan. In order to explore this issue more thoroughly, this study adopts the approach proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995,
Journal of Econometrics, 66(1–2), 225–250). It uses official time-series data provided by the Government of Taiwan. After estimating both a four- and
five-variable VAR system, one that substitutes both male and female LFP rates for the aggregate LFP rate, the primary findings
of this study reveal the following: The higher the past juvenile crime rate, the lower the future aggregate and female LFP
rate will be. In addition, the higher the past male LFP rate, the higher the future juvenile crime rate will be. These findings
are quite robust in terms of different lag-length structures.
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Keywords: | Juvenile delinquency Labor force participation Taiwan Youth crime |
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