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The power of Efron's biased coin design
Institution:1. CMR Unit, Fondazione G. Monasterio CNR-Regione Toscana, Pisa, Italy;2. Radiology Department, “John Paul II” Catholic University, Campobasso, Italy;3. Ematologia-Emoglobinopatie, Civico Hospital-ARNAS, Palermo, Italy;4. Centro Microcitemia, “Garibaldi” Hospital, Catania, Italy;5. Centro per la Cura delle Microcitemie, Cardarelli Hospital, Napoli, Italy;6. Centro trasfusionale, Osp. Giovanni Paolo II, Olbia, Italy;7. Radiology Department, University of Ancona, Ancona, Italy;8. Istituto di Radiologia, Policlinico “Paolo Giaccone”, Palermo, Italy;1. Department of Biostatistics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA;2. Université Pierre et Marrie Curie, Paris VI, 75005 Paris, France
Abstract:The power of a statistical test depends on the sample size. Moreover, in a randomized trial where two treatments are compared, the power also depends on the number of assignments of each treatment. We can treat the power as the conditional probability of correctly detecting a treatment effect given a particular treatment allocation status. This paper uses a simple z-test and a t-test to demonstrate and analyze the power function under the biased coin design proposed by Efron in 1971. We numerically show that Efron's biased coin design is uniformly more powerful than the perfect simple randomization.
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