| Abstract: | We compare the ordinary least squares, weighted symmetric, modified weighted symmetric (MWS), maximum likelihood, and our new modification for least squares (MLS) estimator for first-order autoregressive in the case of unit root using Monte Carlo method. The Monte Carlo study sheds some light on how well the estimators and the predictors perform on different samples sizes. We found that MLS estimator is less biased and has less mean squared error (MSE) than any other estimators, and MWS predictor error performs well, in the sense of MSE, than any other predictors’ methods. The sample percentiles for the distribution of the τ statistic for the first, second, and third periods in the future, for alternative estimators, are reported to know if it agrees with those of normal distribution or not. |
