| 江苏省经济发展与城乡统筹关系实证分析：1980～2004 |
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| 引用本文： | 叶依广,陶应虎.江苏省经济发展与城乡统筹关系实证分析：1980～2004[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2007,7(1):37-42. |
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| 作者姓名： | 叶依广 陶应虎 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南京农业大学,公共管理学院,江苏,南京,210095
2. 南京农业大学,公共管理学院,江苏,南京,210095;金陵科技学院,江苏,南京,210001 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部人文社会科学研究项目
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金陵科技学院科研基金 |
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| 摘 要： | Granger因果关系检验表明,短期内江苏经济发展与城乡统筹存在着单向因果关系,长期内江苏的经济发展与城乡统筹之间存在着双向的、互为因果关系。进一步脉冲分析表明,一方面,经济发展并不会自动导致城乡差距的缩小,而且在长期还会进一步加大城乡差距;另一方面,在短期内城乡统筹水平对经济发展的影响并不显著,在长期内城乡统筹水平对经济发展的影响为负效应。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济发展 城乡统筹 Granger检验 脉冲分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-7465(2007)01-0037-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年1月18日 |
An empirical study on the relationship between economic development and urban-rural interactions of Jiangsu: 1980～2004 |
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| YE Yi-guang,TAO Ying-hu.An empirical study on the relationship between economic development and urban-rural interactions of Jiangsu: 1980～2004[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University(Social Science Edition),2007,7(1):37-42. |
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| Authors: | YE Yi-guang TAO Ying-hu |
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| Abstract: | An empirical analysis of Granger-causality test shows a short-run one-way causal relationship between the provincial economic development and overall planning,while there exists a cause-effect relationship between them in the long run. Further analysis of impulse response function shows that economic growth does not automatically lead to harmonious relations between urban and rural areas,but broadens further the urban-rural gaps in long term on the one hand.On the other hand,urban-rural interactions has no obvious influence on economic development in short term,and the urban-rural gaps hinders economic development in long term. |
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| Keywords: | economic development urban-rural interactions Granger-causality test impulse response |
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