关于中东变局的若干基本问题

中东变局是一场席卷阿拉伯世界的地区性政治与社会运动,它以发展民主、改善民生为其主要政治诉求,以推翻现政权为目标的政治抗议浪潮为其典型表现形式。中东国家的政治变革既有典型的共性特征,又有鲜明的差异性特点,同时有着深刻的政治、经济和思想文化根源。从未来的发展趋势看,民主化、世俗化以及如何处理与西方的关系问题构成了影响阿拉伯国家政治变革的三大核心议题,而阿拉伯国家、以色列、土耳其、伊朗四大力量的地位变化和地区热点问题的复杂化则成为中东地区格局变化的主要趋势。

The Fundamental Issues of the Middle East Upheaval

The Middle East upheaval is a regionally political and social movement sweeping the Arab world,which aims at developing democracy and improving civilian life,overthrowing the existed political regime is the purpose of political demonstrations.The political transformation in the Middle Eastern countries has not only typical common characters and vivid differences,but also profoundly political,economic and cultural roots.In terms of the trends of the Middle East upheaval in the future,democratization,secularization and how to deal with the West are the three central issues of the political transformation of Arab countries,the status changes of Arab countries,Israel,Turkey,Iran and the complication of regional hot spots are the main trends of the regional structure in the Middle East.