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On convergence of properly weighted samples to the target distribution
Authors:Sonia Malefaki  George Iliopoulos
Affiliation:Department of Statistics and Insurance Science, University of Piraeus, 80 Karaoli & Dimitriou str., 18534 Piraeus, Greece
Abstract:We consider importance sampling as well as other properly weighted samples with respect to a target distribution ππ from a different point of view. By considering the associated weights as sojourn times until the next jump, we define appropriate jump processes. When the original sample sequence forms an ergodic Markov chain, the associated jump process is an ergodic semi-Markov process with stationary distribution ππ. In this respect, properly weighted samples behave very similarly to standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) schemes in that they exhibit convergence to the target distribution as well. Indeed, some standard MCMC procedures like the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm are included in this context. Moreover, when the samples are independent and the mean weight is bounded above, we describe a slight modification in order to achieve exact (weighted) samples from the target distribution.
Keywords:65C05   60K15
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