| 宏观经济波动与企业生存状况的DSGE模型构建与数值模拟 |
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| 引用本文： | 周明,陈科. 宏观经济波动与企业生存状况的DSGE模型构建与数值模拟[J]. 重庆大学学报(社会科学版), 2013, 19(3): 20-26 |
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| 作者姓名： | 周明 陈科 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆大学 经济与工商管理学院，重庆400044;重庆大学 经济与工商管理学院，重庆400044 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章使用DSGE分析框架研究企业生存状况在外生冲击的影响下的变化情况。模型的校准结果表明货币偏好冲击对企业生存状况的影响比较小,但持续时间比较长。而技术冲击对企业生存状况有持续性的正面影响。所以货币偏好冲击对企业的生存状况的作用平缓;由于技术冲击对企业生存状况有积极的影响,所以应该鼓励技术创新,增强企业的生存能力。
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| 关 键 词： | 外生冲击 企业生存 动态随机一般均衡 |
Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Firm Survival Based on DSGE and Numerical Simulation |
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| ZHOU Ming and CHEN Ke. Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Firm Survival Based on DSGE and Numerical Simulation[J]. Journal of Chongqing University(Social Sciences Edition), 2013, 19(3): 20-26 |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Ming and CHEN Ke |
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| Affiliation: | School of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, P.R. China;School of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, P.R. China |
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| Abstract: | This paper studies exogenous shocks impact on enterprise survival in a DSGE model. The calibration results of the model indicate that money preference shock has a small influence on firm survival, but it has long-run fluctuation. And technology shock has a long-run positive impact on the enterprise survival. The paper gets following results: First, money preference fluctuation has steady utility to firm survival; second, because technology fluctuation has positive impact on firm survival, we should encourage firms to innovation to enhance enterprise survival capacity. |
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| Keywords: | exogenous fluctuation firm survival DSGE |
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