中国城镇居民能源消费及其影响因素

基于2008—2012年中国30个省域城镇居民直接、间接、完全能源消费的截面数据,运用空间计量经济学相关理论与方法,检验省域之间城镇居民能源消费的空间自相关性,分析城镇居民能源消费的影响因素。实证结果表明:中国城镇居民间接与完全能源消费存在显著的正空间相关性,直接能源消费的空间相关性不显著;能源价格和人口规模是影响中国城镇居民能源消费最重要的影响因素,因此在进行能源市场化改革时,要控制人口规模,稳定生活能源价格,保证居民正常生活;同时,政府也要积极引导和改善城镇居民的生活消费方式,鼓励提倡环保绿色出行方式,节约能源、保护环境。

Energy Consumption and Influence Factors of Urban Residents in China

Based on the cross-section data of direct, indirect and total energy consumption of Chinese 30 provincial urban residents during the period of 2008—2012, this paper makes an inspection of spatial autocorrelation between the provincial urban residential energy consumption and analyzes influence factors of urban residential energy consumption by using the method of spatial econometrics and other relevant theories. The empirical results show that, both the indirect and total energy consumption of urban residential have positive significant spatial correlation and the spatial correlation of direct urban residential energy consumption is not significant; energy prices and the population size of urban are important factors influencing urban residential energy consumption in China, therefore, the Chinese government needs to control the urban population size and keep the residential energy price stable in order to ensure the normal life of residents when implementing energy market reform; at the same time, the government should actively guide and improve the energy consumption pattern of urban residents, encourage and advocate an environmental green travel mode to save energy and protect the environment.