美日同盟对中国防范的加强与中日关系走向

冷战结束以来,美日同盟逐渐加强,对中日关系发展影响深刻。一方面,日本依托美日同盟走在防范中国的前沿,推行强硬的对华政策,使中日关系不断恶化。这是中日关系的现状。另一方面,在未来,当中日关系的持续恶化损害到美国在东亚地区的战略利益时,美国将对日本强硬的对华政策有所牵制。这一趋势已初见端倪。最近的将来,中日关系仍然不容乐观,很难好于中美关系,将处于中美关系与中日关系完全恶化之间的灰色地带。

US-Japan Alliance and Sina-Japanese Relations

After the end of the cold war, US-Japan alliance has been strengthened, which exerts significant influence on Sino-Japanese relations. On one hand, taking advantage of the alliance relationship with the United States, Japan has adopted a tough policy toward China, which leads to a deterioration of the relations between the two countries. On the Other hand, the US will constrain Japan's tough policy toward China when such deterioration becomes harmful to American strategic interests in East-Asia. The tendency is seeable. In the foreseeable future, the genetal tendency of Sino-Japan relations will be worse than Sino-US relations, but it will not break down completely.