| 山东省国内生产总值与投资、消费的协整分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 李胡平,李忠民. 山东省国内生产总值与投资、消费的协整分析[J]. 辽宁工程技术大学学报(社会科学版), 2005, 7(5): 476-478 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李胡平 李忠民 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津大学,管理学院,天津,300072 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用协整理论和因果关系检验实证分析了山东省国内生产总值和投资,居民消费之间的关系。结果表明山东省国内生产总值与投资、居民消费之间存在长期稳定的关系。投资和国内生产总值之间存在双向的因果关系,表明山东经济最本质的特征是投资驱动型增长,山东的宏观经济政策重点是保持投资的快速增长。
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| 关 键 词： | 居民消费水平 国内生产总值 投资 协整 因果关系 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-391X(2005)05-0476-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-04-19 |
Analysis of the cointegration among domestic consumption, investment and GDP of Shandong province |
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| LI Hu-ping,LI Zhong-min. Analysis of the cointegration among domestic consumption, investment and GDP of Shandong province[J]. Journal of Liaoning Technical University(Social Science Edition), 2005, 7(5): 476-478 |
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| Authors: | LI Hu-ping LI Zhong-min |
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| Abstract: | The article applies the cointegration theory and Granger causality relationship test to analyze the relationship among household consumption,investment and GDP of Shandong province.The results show that there is long-term equilibrium among household consumption,investment and GDP of Shandong province.Mutual Granger causality relationship between investment and GDP respectively indicates that economy in Shandong is invest-leading,and the most important macroeconomic policy in Shandong keeps investment growing rapidly. |
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| Keywords: | household consumption GDP investment cointegration Granger causality |
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