| 中国运输服务指数的编制及应用研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王建伟,薛盘芬. 中国运输服务指数的编制及应用研究[J]. 统计与信息论坛, 2012, 27(4): 72-76 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王建伟 薛盘芬 |
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| 作者单位： | 长安大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安,710064 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 借鉴美国运输服务指数编制方法,并结合中国交通运输业的现状特征,设计出了中国运输服务指数的编制方案,依据该方案计算得出2002年1月至2011年7月的货运服务指数、客运服务指数以及运输服务综合指数,通过与同期宏观经济景气指数中的一致性指数进行比对,得出货运服务指数为宏观经济的先行指标,客运服务指数为一致性指标的重要结论.
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| 关 键 词： | 运输服务指数 经济周期 增长周期 |
Research on the Compilation of China Transportation Services Index and Its Application |
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| WANG Jian-wei , XUE Pan-fen. Research on the Compilation of China Transportation Services Index and Its Application[J]. Statistics & Information Tribune, 2012, 27(4): 72-76 |
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| Authors: | WANG Jian-wei XUE Pan-fen |
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| Affiliation: | (School of Economics and Management,Chang’an University,Xi’an 710064,China) |
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| Abstract: | By learning from the compilation of America transportation services index,and based on the research into the current situation feature of transportation industry in China,a project on the compilation of China transportation services index has been designed.Using historical data from January 2002 to July 2011 freight transportation services(freight TSI),passenger transportation services(passenger TSI),and total TSI have been calculated according to the project.Though analyzing the relations between TSI and the coincident index of macroeconomic climate index,it is concluded that freight TSI is a leading indicator of economic and passenger TSI is a coincident indicator of economic. |
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| Keywords: | transportation services index business cycles growth cycles |
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