交通基础设施、人力资本发展、旅游发展水平对经济增长的影响

选取2000—2017年中国内地除西藏自治区外30个省市的面板数据,以旅游发展水平为中介变量构建结构方程模型,分析交通基础设施、人力资本发展、旅游发展水平对经济增长的影响。研究发现:旅游发展水平、人力资本发展对经济增长有直接正向效应;交通基础设施对经济增长的正向效应需要借助于旅游发展水平这一中介,该效应在多组分析时以东部地区尤为明显。

Impact of transportation infrastructure,human capital development and tourism development level on economic growth

The panel data of the 30 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities in the Chinese mainland except Tibet from 2000 to 2017 are selected, and the structural equation model is constructed with the tourism development level as an intermediary variable. The impacts are analyzed of transportation infrastructure, human capital development and tourism development level on economic growth. It is found that tourism development level and human capital development have direct positive effects on economic growth; while the positive effects of transport infrastructure on economic growth need to rely on the intermediary of tourism development level, and the effect is particularly obvious in the eastern regions when multiple groups of analysis are conducted.