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沪深300股指期货动态套期保值策略的效果分析
引用本文:赵婉淞,孙万贵,韩蓉蓉.沪深300股指期货动态套期保值策略的效果分析[J].统计与信息论坛,2010,25(12):69-74.
作者姓名:赵婉淞  孙万贵  韩蓉蓉
作者单位:西北大学经济管理学院,陕西西安710127
摘    要:对比了BGARCH、MA-BGARCH、EC-BGARCH和BGARCH-X这四种动态套期保值策略的保值效果,实证分析四种套期保值模型下资产收益的条件方差与HE指标,得出BGARCH-X的套期保值效果最佳,EC-BGARCH与MA-BGARCH的套期保值效果次之,BGARCH的套期保值效果最差的结论。

关 键 词:最优套期保值比  双变量GARCH-X模型  沪深300现货  沪深300期货  HE指标

Analyses of Time-Varying Hedging Effectiveness by Using CSI300 Futures
ZHAO Wan-song,SUN Wan-gui,HAN Rong-rong.Analyses of Time-Varying Hedging Effectiveness by Using CSI300 Futures[J].Statistics & Information Tribune,2010,25(12):69-74.
Authors:ZHAO Wan-song  SUN Wan-gui  HAN Rong-rong
Institution:(School of Economic and Management,Northwest University,Xi'an 710127,China)
Abstract:This paper investigates the time-varying hedging effectiveness using BGARCH、MA(1)-BGARCH、EC-BGARCH and BGARCH-X models which determined hedge ratios.By investigating the conditional variance and the HE index of the four models,the results suggest that the GARCH-X model provides the most effective hedge;the EC-BGARCH and MA(1)-BGARCH models are placed in the middle;the BGARCH models performs worst.
Keywords:optimal hedge ratio  bivariate GARCH-X model  CSI300  CSI300 futures  HE index
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