广西人口与经济发展的互动分析

人口与经济的发展有着作用与反作用的关系。总体上,广西处于经济快速增长和人口低速稳定增长的态势。具体来说,广西经济的发展和人口增长具有一定的同步性,但它们之间并不是简单的线性关系;广西人口文化素质水平有了显著提高,对经济发展的推进作用也较为明显;广西人口年龄结构属于成年型,抚养系数较低,处于经济发展的“黄金时代”;广西的第一、三产业的劳动生产率相对较低,第二产业的劳动生产率相对较高,人口产业结构的变动相对滞后于GDP产业结构的变动;广西城镇化水平较低,已成为广西国民经济和社会持续发展的主要障碍因素之一。

On the Interactive Relations Between the Population and the Economical Development of Guangxi Province

The population can reciprocally interaction with the economical development and this paper tries to test such interactive of Relation in the western province,Guangxi.The Analysis shows that Guangxi's economy is growing at a high speed while the population is at a low rate.In other words,the economic development and population growth are somewhat synchronous,but not a simple linear relationship.The following variables of population are much positive to economy: the increasing education level fuel up the economy,the adult model of age structure provide with a low dependence coefficient and a "golden age" for economical development.While the following variables seems to be negative to economy: the labor structure of industrial sectors provides much low productivities in the first,third industrial sectors but a high one in the second sector,which not match the GDP structure of industrial sectors,and the low level of urbanization has become one of main barriers to the sustainability of social-economic development.