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供应链突发事件风险预警模型研究
引用本文:肖开红.供应链突发事件风险预警模型研究[J].河南工业大学学报(社会科学版),2012,8(1):54-57.
作者姓名:肖开红
作者单位:河南工业大学管理学院,河南郑州450001/长安大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安710064
基金项目:国家软科学研究项目(2010GXS5D233);河南省软科学研究项目(112400430030);郑州市软件科学项目(20111167)
摘    要:对导致供应链突发事件的风险因素进行了归纳;在此基础上,运用未确知测度理论求解各风险指标的风险水平分布矩阵;借鉴信息熵理论求解各风险类型的权重;在已知单风险指标测度矩阵和分类风险权重的基础上,计算供应链突发事件风险水平;结合案例对测度模型进行了演算。

关 键 词:信息熵  未确知测度理论  供应链突发事件  风险

ON RISK ESTIMATION MODELS OF THE INCIDENTS OF THE SUPPLY CHAIN
XIAO Kai-hong.ON RISK ESTIMATION MODELS OF THE INCIDENTS OF THE SUPPLY CHAIN[J].Journal of Henan University of Technology:Social Science Edition,2012,8(1):54-57.
Authors:XIAO Kai-hong
Institution:XIAO Kai-hong1,2(1.School of Management,Henan University of Technology Zhenzhou 450001,China; 2.School of Economics & Management,Changan University,Xi’an710064,China)
Abstract:The paper summarizes the risk factors leading to the emergencies in the supply chain.It uses unascertained measurement theory to solve the level of risk for each risk indicator distribution matrix on this basis,draws on information entropy theory to solve the weights of various types of risk and calculates the risk level of the emergencies in the supply chain based on the known single risk indicators measuring matrix and classification of risk weights.Then it calculates the measurement models in combination with cases.
Keywords:information entropy  unascertained measurement theory  incident in supply chain  risk
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