| 我国农村居民消费结构和产业结构的相互关系——基于VEC模型的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈晋玲.我国农村居民消费结构和产业结构的相互关系——基于VEC模型的实证研究[J].长沙理工大学学报(社会科学版),2011(5):90-94. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈晋玲 |
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| 作者单位： | 晋城职业技术学院财经系;山西财经大学; |
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| 摘 要： | 我国目前正处在经济全面转型时期,消费结构和产业结构良好互动是促进经济转型发展的关键。本文运用1978年-2009年数据构造VEC模型分析我国农村居民消费结构和产业结构的相互关系,通过协整检验和方差分解分析,结果表明:产业结构变动对经济增长的影响作用明显,其中第二产业的影响基本保持稳定,第三产业表现出持续增长的强劲趋势,进而影响我国农村居民消费结构的变化。反之,农村居民消费结构变化并没有带动产业结构的变动,从而对我国经济增长影响作用不明显。为此我们提出了大幅度提高农民收入、加大产业结构调整、优化农村居民消费结构的建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 消费结构 产业结构 VEC模型 |
Relationship between Consumption Structure of Rural Residents and their Industrial Structure in China——VEC Model Based on Empirical Study |
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| CHEN Jin-ling.Relationship between Consumption Structure of Rural Residents and their Industrial Structure in China——VEC Model Based on Empirical Study[J].Journal of Changsha University of Science & Technology,2011(5):90-94. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Jin-ling |
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| Institution: | CHEN Jin-ling(Jincheng Institute of Technology,Shanxi University of Finance and Economics,Jincheng,Shanxi 048000,China) |
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| Abstract: | China is currently undergoing economic comprehensive transition.It is important that there is a good interaction between consumption structure and industrial structure.This paper constructs VEC model to analyze the relationship between consumption structure of China's rural residents and industrial structure by using 1978-2009 data.Through co-integration test and variance decomposition analysis,the results show that industrial structure changes significantly influence on economic growth,among the second ind... |
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| Keywords: | consumption structure industrial structure VEC model |
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