系统集成商多阶段产能预订模型研究

随着经济全球化迅猛发展，系统集成商在运营组织变革中脱颖而出。系统集成商面对不确定需求需要快速做出响应，这就要求其集中智能化组织上游供应商的产能。本文基于供应链产能预订机制和契约协调理论，构建了两级供应链多阶段需求下的产能预订模型。用时域滚动执行法求解模型并进行敏感性分析，验证了模型的有效性。为系统集成商做出产能预订决策提供了有力依据。

Research on the Multi stage Capacity Reservation Model of the System Integrator

With the rapid development of economic globalization, system integrators in the operation of organizational change stand out. System integrators need to respond quickly in face of the uncertainty of demand, which requires the organization the capacity of upstream suppliers centrally and intelligently. Based on the supply chain mechanism and the coordination theory of capacity reservation contract, we constructed a model of two levels, which can satisfy the multi stage demands. A rolling horizon implementation strategy and sensitivity analysis were suggested for the efficient application of the model. It provided a sound basis for the system integrator to make the decisions of capacity reservation.