江苏省城市入境旅游规模与位序差异化研究

运用标准差、变异系数、基尼系数、首位度、赫芬达尔指数等指标数据，对2000—2013年江苏省13个地级市的入境旅游规模与位序规模散布状况进行分析。结果表明:14年来江苏城市入境旅游发展状况存在较大差异，首位城市分布保持不变；城市入境旅游符合位序规模分布的规律；城市入境旅游发展态势主要呈现三种形态:平稳发展型、波动发展型和快速上升型。然后从旅游资源禀赋、区位条件等方面剖析造成这种差异的原因并提出发展建议，以期为江苏入境旅游发展提供参考。

Research on Disparity of Inbound Tourism Size and Rank for Cities in Jiangsu Province

This paper makes an analysis of inbound tourism revenue in 13 cities of Jiangsu Province form 2000 to 2013. The paper analyzes the difference of tourism size among the cities in Jiangsu Province with five criteria consisting of Standard deviation, Coefficient of variation, Gini Coefficient, Primacy ration and Herfindah Index. The research suggest that: (1) The inbound tourism of city in Jiangsu have significant disparity, the first degree showing alternating change, the inbound tourism disparity of Jiangsu is decreasing. (2)After log-regression analysis, the size of inbound tourism of Jiangsu city in line with the distribution of the rank. (3)Urban development trend of inbound tourism presents four types: stable development oriented, fluctuations development type, rapid progress type, slow recession type. Last, form natural resources, economic development-tourism, services and facilities, traffic location, political and other aspects of the policy analysis the inbound tourism trend of Jiangsu and put forward development proposals.