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BETTER PRIORS FOR BAYESIAN BETTORS
Authors:Dean  Isaacson Glen  Meeden
Affiliation:Department of Statistics, Iowa State University
Abstract:Consider the game where a Bayesian investor places a series of bets on the outcomes of a sequence of tosses of a coin with odds set by a Bayesian bookie. It is shown that at each toss the investor can have non-negative expected winnings even though after many tosses the two posterior distributions are nearly equivalent.
Keywords:Bayesian decision makingy    betting systems    long run frequency
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