农民工对经济增长贡献及成果分享的定量测量

摘　　要:农民工对我国经济增长贡献大、成果分享小，这是社会上比较一致的看法。但贡献究竟有多大，成果的分享究竟有多小。不同的方法可能得到不同的结论。本文在新古典增长理论和“新”增长理论基础上，创建了一个理论模型。该模型引进了一个变量。作为索洛余值的分解。内生化新古典模型中的技术进步因素，通过此模型分析经济增长的源泉，从而对农民工对经济增长的贡献进行了统计定量测量。得到了比较客观的结论。

The Measurement of Contribution of Off-Farm Workers to Economic Growth and the Fruits of Economic Growth They Shared

As we know,the contribution of the off-farm workers to economic growth is great and the economic growth fruits they shared is small.How much is the contribution in factHow much is the share Different conclusions can be obtained in the different methods.By introduing an endogenous variable as Solow residual decomposition,the paper establishes a theory model based on the neoclassical growth theory and the endogenous growth theory to analyse the economic growth factors and to calculate or estimate the contribution of the off-farm workers to the economic growth.This is an exploring research both in theory and in practice.About the off-farm workers' problems.