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Impulse Balance and Multiple‐Period Feedback in the Newsvendor Game
Authors:Axel Ockenfels  Reinhard Selten
Abstract:Human subjects in the newsvendor game place suboptimal orders: orders are typically between the expected profit‐maximizing quantity and mean demand (“pull‐to‐center bias”). In previous work, we have shown that impulse balance equilibrium (IBE), which is based on a simple ex post rationality principle along with an equilibrium condition, can predict ordering decisions in the laboratory. In this study, we extend IBE to standing orders and multiple‐period feedback and show that it predicts—in line with previous findings—that constraining newsvendors to make a standing order for a sequence of periods moves the average of submitted orders toward the optimum.
Keywords:newsvendor game  bounded rationality  impulse balance  debiasing behavior
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