陕西省利用外商直接投资绩效分析

在前人研究FDI时忽略其时滞性和累积性特点的前提下,利用陕西省1985—2006年的时间序列数据,采用实际利用FDI存量对陕西省经济发展的作用作了计量检验。结果表明,在这段时间里FDI对陕西省GDP的增长和产业结构升级都有显著的促进作用,并且西部大开发后的作用明显大于开发前,FDI是陕西经济增长的一个重要因素。在此基础上对实际利用外商直接投资的业绩指数和潜力指数进行分析,发现陕西省利用外资规模水平长期严重低于全国平均水平,成为影响陕西省经济增速的一个原因;通过潜力指数分析发现,陕西省吸引外资的潜力居西部首位,并得出科研支出和高等教育人才是陕西省吸引外资的优势,出口少和人均能源消耗少是吸引外资的瓶颈。最后提出进一步吸引外资、促进陕西经济发展的政策建议。

Analysis on the Performance of Foreign Direct Investment in Shaanxi Province

This paper attempts to study the relationship between FDI and economic development of Shaanxi Province according to the data of utilizing FDI from 1985 to 2006.Based on data analysis results,we find that FDI is positively correlated with GDP,indeed promotes the economic growth of Shaanxi province,and that FDI arouses the rate of first industry to decline which indicates that FDI promotes the upgrading of industry structure in Shaanxi province.The scale of FDI in Shaanxi province is under the nation average.The changing trends of performance index and potential index of utilizing FDI in Shaanxi province are got,coming up with some policy recommendations.