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基于空间数据的出生性别比偏高影响因素研究
引用本文:胡耀岭,原新.基于空间数据的出生性别比偏高影响因素研究[J].人口学刊,2012(5):12-21.
作者姓名:胡耀岭  原新
作者单位:1. 河北大学经济学院,河北保定,071002
2. 南开大学经济学院,天津,300071
基金项目:中国博士后基金面上资助项目:中国出生性别比偏高与生育政策关系研究(20110490518)
摘    要:以出生性别比升高机理为基础,应用空间计量技术分析2000年份地市横截面数据和地理空间数据,实证研究各因素对出生性别比偏高的影响。结果表明:社会经济文化因素通过影响生育决策和生育行为进而引起出生性别比偏高,影响出生性别比升高的各因素存在空间相互作用,其空间自相关属于高高-低低类型;传统文化、公共政策、城镇化水平以及良好的社会法制环境将抑制出生性别比升高;经济发展水平、家庭收入、受教育程度和医疗发展水平将促使出生性别比升高;生育政策对出生性别比升高的影响不具有统计显著性。

关 键 词:出生性别比  性别失衡  空间分析方法

Research on Factors Influencing the Sex Ratio at Birth Based on Spatial Data
HU Yao-ling , YUAN Xin.Research on Factors Influencing the Sex Ratio at Birth Based on Spatial Data[J].Population Journal,2012(5):12-21.
Authors:HU Yao-ling  YUAN Xin
Institution:1.The College of Economics of Hebei University,Baoding Hebei,071002,China; 2.The School of Economics of Nankai University,Tianjin,300071,China)
Abstract:This paper conducts empirical research based on the application of spatial econometric analysis of urban/subdivision cross-sectional data and geospatial data from year 2000.The results showed that the socio-economic and cultural factors influence reproductive decisions and reproductive behavior and the sex ratio at birth,various factors exist spatial autocorrelation.Traditional culture,public policy,and the level of urbanization will suppress the sex ratio at birth increase;economic development level,household income,and the level of education will lead to increase of sex ratio at birth.Fertility policy does not have statistical significance impact on the sex ratio at birth.
Keywords:sex ratio at birth  gender imbalance  spatial econometric methods
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