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Simultaneous confidence regions for the parameters of a Poisson INAR(1) model
Authors:Christian H Weiß
Institution:aDarmstadt University of Technology, Department of Mathematics, Schlossgartenstraße 7, D-64289 Darmstadt, Germany
Abstract:The INAR(1) model (integer-valued autoregressive) is commonly used to model serially dependent processes of Poisson counts. We propose several asymptotic simultaneous confidence regions for the two parameters of a Poisson INAR(1) model, and investigate their performance and robustness for finite-length time series in a simulation study. Practical recommendations are derived, and the application of the confidence regions is illustrated by a real-data example.
Keywords:Time series of counts  Poisson INAR(1) model  Simultaneous confidence regions  CLS estimators  ML estimators
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