中国沿海与内陆间经济影响的溢出与反馈效应

本文利用1997、2007年中国8地区区域间投入产出表，测算中国沿海与内陆地区经济影响的溢出与反馈效应的动态变化。三大类系数测算结果显示：区域内乘数效应大于区域间溢出效应，区域间溢出效应大于区域间反馈效应；同时，随着时间的推移，区域内乘数效应在下降、而区域间溢出与反馈效应在上升。对比沿海与内陆地区对对方的溢出效应系数，发现沿海地区小于内陆地区，但引入规模效应后，由于沿海地区有着更大的最终产出规模，它对内陆地区的实际溢出效应大于内陆地区对它的实际溢出效应。产业层面的分析表明建筑业与机械制造、交通运输设备制造业是沿海与内陆共同的具有较大溢出效应的产业，对沿海与内陆经济发展的带动作用较强。

Feedback and Spillover Effects between Coastal and Non-coastal Regions of China

Based on the multi-regional Input-Output Tables of China in 1997 and 2007, this paper discusses the features and trends of the spillover and feedback effects between Costal and Non-coastal regions. From the viewpoint of parameters calculation, the intra-regional multiplier effect is bigger than inter-regional spillover effect, and the spillover effect is bigger than the feedback effect. Meanwhile, the trend that the multiplier effect was decreasing and the spillover and feedback effects were increasing is also displayed. It has also shown such features that the spillover and feedback effects form Costal to Non-coastal were less than those from Non-costal to Costal. After the scale effect being considered, it was detected that the spillover and feedback effect from Costal to Non-costal were bigger than those from Non-costal to Costal. From the viewpoint of industries, it’s also showed that the construction, machinery manufacturing and transportation equipment manufacturing have a relatively high spillover effects on both Costal and Non-coastal economies.