人民币汇率升值对机电产品贸易收支影响的实证分析——以江苏与广东为例

文章以江苏和广东为例，分析人民币汇率升值对两省机电产品贸易收支的影响。从短期来看，人民币汇率升值对两省机电产品贸易收支影响不大，主要贸易伙伴国GDP增长是导致两省机电产品贸易收支顺差的主要原因。但从长期看，随着未来人民币汇率升值幅度的加大和我国新劳动法的实施，低附加值机电产品出口优势将会消失，这将对我国机电产品如何提高附加值，增加科技含量和增强自主创新能力提出挑战。

The Influence of RMB Rate Revaluation on Mechanical and Electrical Products Trade Payment--A Case Study of Jiangsu and Guangdong

Taking Jiangsu Province and Guangdong influence of the appreciation of RMB exchange rate Province for example, this paper analyzes on the trade of two provinces＇ mechanical electrical products. In this text, it is deemed that the appreciation of RMB exchange rate makes a s the and light impact on the trade of both Jiangsu and Guangdong＇s mechanical and electrical products in a short time. The GDP increase of the main trade partner countries is the most important reason for the balance of trade surplus. However, in the long run, with RMB exchange rate revaluation to a big margin and the new labor law put into practice, the exporting advantage of low added mechanical and electrical products will disappear. This brings a real challenge on how to enhance added value of our country＇s mechanical and electrical products and how to improve technology and to innovate independently.