风险加速效应及其顺向管理政策研究

风险内生于人们的社会、经济活动,人们的风险偏好随财富同方向变化.在完全竞争或平均利润下降趋势下,风险产品成为人们谋求利益最大化的工具.风险有类似蝴蝶效应的加速效应,是内因和外因作用的结果.外因而言,逆向控制违背风险内在加速效应,收效差;顺向管理更符合风险的内在传导机制,能够防范和化解风险,引导社会和谐、稳定发展.

Research on Risk acceleration Effect and the Downwind Strategies for Risk Managements

Risk,following the society wealth's steps,is born within the social and economic activities.Risk becomes a tool that is held by people to pursue the paranormal return under the perfect competition or the downing average profit.The butterfly-effect of risk-acceleration results from the endogenesis and exogenous causes.For the exogenous aspects,the reversed strategies for risk managements violate the risk law,which makes little senses;instead,the downwind strategies do work well and accords with the endogenes...